Archive for category Computers & internet

Will your internet content survive?

Today when I felt like writing a blog post, I realised it has been almost 10 years since I wrote my first Blog post on this blog. This blog was originally created on Microsoft’s MSN Spaces in 2004 and when Microsoft killed the service In 2010, I moved it to this free WordPress service.

Until last year I used to have another blog which was hosted by the Dutch Internet provider XS4all,  running on ‘experimental server’ for 9 years. Sadly they took it down and the only way you can read it now is by using a service like ‘the way back machine’.

So it seems not many blogging platforms are here forever, Which makes me wonder how long WordPress will continue to provide their free blogging platform. I’m pretty sure WordPress must be one of the most reliable picks if you needed to choose a blogging platform, right? But since this blog is called ‘Visions of the Future’ I feel the pressure to do a prediction for the future. Wouldn’t it be nice if people (family, researchers) could read my blog post 10, 20, 50 or even 100+ years from now?

I expect WordPress will still exist 10 years from now (in 2024), but I’m less certain about 2034 and don’t have much faith in 2064. Will the WordPress organisation still exist in 100 years? My prediction is that it won’t. The good news is that I’m pretty sure most data on the internet will continue to exist.

I’m not sure if it will be on the ‘Way back Machine’ or a Google caching service (Google might be bankrupt after the war of the machines) but I’m certain there will be enough services within 10 years which will be capable of capturing almost all valuable knowledge (text and images) on the internet. Eventually all this data will be converted into an ‘uber worldwide semantic database’ which some day will be capable in reproducing all the knowledge which was ever published online…

front-row-seat-to-the-end-of-the-world

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A new blog every second! (the state of the blogospere)

 

Technorati has done another State of the Blogosphere.

Check it out here: Technorati Weblog: State of the Blogosphere, August 2005

 

Summary:

  • Technorati was tracking over 14.2 Million weblogs, and over 1.3 billion links in July 2005
  • The blogosphere continues to double about every 5.5 months
  • A new blog is created about every second, there are over 80,000 created daily
  • About 55% of all blogs are active, and that has remained a consistent statistic for at least a year
  • About 13% of all blogs are updated at least weekly

Wow! This is even ‘worse’ than Moore’s law!
How long will it take before my parents are going to start a weblog?

Follow this trend (using a 6 months periods in stead of 5.5)
2005 July      14.2
2006 Jan       28.4
2006 July      58.8
2007 Jan     113.6
2007 July    227.2
2008 Jan     908.8
2008 July   1817.6
2009 Jan   3635.2
2009 July  7270.4
2010 Jan 14540.8

How long will it take untill this trend is broken?
Or will my dishwasher get a blog?
Will it dish me on the web by telling the world I don’t do the maintenance according to the manual? 🙂

 

 

 

 

 

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Microsoft and Google Custom Startpages (Google has a RSS aggregator!!)

 

Google added RSS functionality to there service this week, at last…

The Googlepersonal page and the Microsoft Start.com site are looking more similar every day!
Look at the attached photo’s for a game of ‘find the differences’

This news will be a hot one on Technorati

 

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GridThinking

 
I launched a new site last night.
It’s called GridThinking and can be found at
www.gridthinking.org.

Basically this site is about a idea that i had for the last 8 months.
On 8 November 2004 I listened to the Trade secrets Podacst from Dave Winer and Adam Curry on my way home. This was the monday after Bloggercon 3 and the podcast was a reflection from Dave and Adom on Bloggercon.

During the podcast I realised there isn’t a good way of combining an ONLINE and a OFFLINE event. And there are no good tools to logically collect all the ideas and feedback that would take place at the event (where a speaker and an audience sits) and from all the people in the world who are participating online.

This site is also about new ways to connect, sort and group weblog posts (publications).
The idea is based on a combination of desktop software, social ‘tagging and rating’ and software algorithms (Datamining/business intelligence) for doing the tagging and rating automatically based on all kinds of related data and information about the person or organisation who did the publication.

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New version of EPIC.

 
 
You Remember EPIC 2014??  "The new york times has gone offline…":)
(Robin Sloan and Matt Thompson’s vision of the way the media landscape could look in the future)
(You don’t know what i’m talking about? Then you have to see this!)
 
Anywayis this is the latest Version!!!
This is such a interesting view on the futurel!!
Some got ideas, some strange way of combining things..
(what about GoogleSoft?  (Combined Forces;)
 
 
 
 
 

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Apple vs Microsoft

I’ve noticed that the respect between Apple Users and Microsoft is getting better.

You got Microsoft fanatics who say Apple is looking good, and you have Apple lovers like Steve Gillmore and Adam Curry who start using Microsoft Tablet PC’s. 

Wow. Who thought of that! Maybe some day Operating Systems will live together in harmony.. 

But..I run into this news today.  It looks like Apple changes the browsers setting after installing the new OS X updated, calles Tiger . If you got FireFox running, it changes it (back) to Safari!  Hmmm. on purpose?
Naugty Steve Jobs..  I’m sure he has to explain this in the future…

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Big movement is the World of large software vendors

By the announcement of a closer corporation between Microsoft and SAP, SAP is keeping the pressure on Oracle.

This is resulting in a rumour that Oracle is planning to buy SIEBEL just a few months after the bidding war for PeopleSoft..

No doubt about it… 
At the end of this year the software market will probably be totally shaken…not stirred.  

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